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Eduzan / 03 Corporate Finance

Corp 2 – Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Considerations in Investment Analysis

Worked examples are fully visible. Check-yourself items are study aids you can reveal one at a time.

How a company treats the environment it operates in, the people it employs, the communities around its sites and the way it sells to customers has become a visible test of management quality. That visibility is why ESG analysis moved from the margin of security selection into the middle of it. This lesson builds the machinery in four steps: how ownership is arranged across markets and what that does to governance, how to judge governance at one named company, how to find the ESG issues that actually matter, and how to push those issues through a valuation until they change a number.

Ownership comes first, because ownership settles the question of who can make a board do anything. Every later governance conclusion rests on knowing where control sits.

Dispersed, concentrated and hybrid ownership

Three broad families of ownership structure exist. Under dispersed ownership there are many holders and not one of them can individually exercise control over the corporation. Under concentrated ownership a single holder, or a coordinated group described as the controlling shareholders, can exercise that control; the group is usually a family, one or more other companies, or a sovereign entity. A hybrid market sits between the two, with some sizeable blocks present but no single pattern of control across listed issuers.

Globally the balance tilts hard toward concentration. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) surveyed 47 jurisdictions for a governance report and found 38 of them to be predominantly concentrated. Four of the remaining nine were classified as dispersed, namely Australia, Ireland, the United Kingdom and the United States, and five as hybrid, namely Canada, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands and Switzerland. Anyone who learned governance from a purely Anglo-American text has therefore been studying the exception rather than the rule.

OECD classification of ownership structure, grouped by the pattern behind it
Corp 2 – Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Considerations in Investment Analysis — table 1
GroupJurisdictions namedWhat drives the pattern
Concentrated, state as ownerChina, Norway, SwedenThe state itself is the characteristic large holder
Concentrated, families as ownersBrazil, Mexico, Portugal, South KoreaFamilies are the predominant shareholders
Concentrated, company groupsIndia, RussiaGroups of affiliated companies hold one another
Concentrated, other named jurisdictionsAustria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Poland, Slovenia, Spain, Turkey, plus Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Israel, New Zealand, Singapore, South Africa and the United Arab EmiratesConcentration without one dominant explanation; 38 jurisdictions in total were classified this way
DispersedAustralia, Ireland, United Kingdom, United StatesFinancial institutions hold most of the shares in the largest Australian issuers, though still on a dispersed basis. Irish holdings are widely spread apart from a handful of family-controlled names. Very few UK issuers have a holder at 25% or above. US listed companies rarely sit under the control of one major shareholder.
HybridCanada, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, SwitzerlandA meaningful minority of the largest Canadian issuers do have controlling holders. Many German companies are tightly controlled even where listed shares are broadly distributed. Only a small minority of Japanese issuers have a majority holder. Dutch registers look dispersed until trust offices are counted in. The biggest Swiss issuers are more dispersed than the mid-sized and smaller ones.

Figures follow the OECD 2017 survey as reported in the reading. The three classifications together account for the 47 jurisdictions examined: 38 concentrated, 4 dispersed and 5 hybrid.

Owning shares is not the same as holding control

The share register on its own can mislead. A controlling shareholder may be a majority shareholder, holding above 50% of the shares, or a minority shareholder, holding below 50% and controlling the company anyway. Three devices drive a wedge between the right to cash flows and the right to vote.

  • Horizontal ownership. Businesses linked commercially, typically as major customer and major supplier, take cross-holdings in one another. Arrangements of this kind support alliances and durable trading relationships, and they also remove a block of stock from circulation.
  • Vertical ownership, also called pyramid ownership. One company or group takes a controlling stake in two or more holding companies, and those in turn take controlling stakes in operating companies. Voting control passes down the chain intact while the economic stake shrinks at every link.
  • Dual-class shares, or multiple-class shares. One class is given superior or exclusive voting rights and another inferior rights or none at all. Layered onto a pyramid, the entity at the apex can allocate itself all or most of the superior voting stock and keep control of the operating companies while owning comparatively few shares in total.
Figure 1: Vertical (pyramid) ownership and the decay of economic interest
Family group Holding Co Intermediate Co Operating Co A Operating Co B 51% 51% 51% 51% Control never dilutes, yet the residual claim is 51% multiplied three times.
Votes travel down the chain at full strength while the claim on profits shrinks to a small fraction. That gap between control and economic exposure is the reason pyramid groups worry outside investors.
Economic interest through a three-link chain, where each s is the stake held at that link.
Voting share of a founder class B block, where n counts shares and v counts votes per share in each class.
Example 1 · Worked

The two calculations below are illustrations built to expose the mechanics. They are not figures taken from the reading, but they reproduce exactly the effect the reading describes.

1. A family holds 51% of Holding Co, which holds 51% of Intermediate Co, which holds 51% of each of two operating companies. What fraction of each operating company’s profits does the family ultimately own, and what fraction of the votes does it direct?
Solution. Multiply the stakes along the chain: 0.51 × 0.51 × 0.51 = 0.132651, so roughly 13% of the profits. Votes do not multiply the same way, because clearing a majority at each link is enough to seat the board of the entity below. The family therefore directs 100% of the votes at each operating company while carrying about 13% of the economic exposure. That asymmetry is the structural reason pyramid groups attract related-party transaction risk: the controller keeps the whole benefit of a diverted transaction and absorbs only a sliver of the cost.
2. A company has 1,000,000 class A shares carrying one vote each, held by the public, and 200,000 class B shares carrying ten votes each, held by the founders. What proportion of the equity and what proportion of the votes belong to the founders?
Solution. Equity: 200,000 ÷ 1,200,000 is one-sixth of the shares outstanding, so roughly 17% of the economic claim. Votes: class A casts 1,000,000 × 1 = 1,000,000 and class B casts 200,000 × 10 = 2,000,000, giving 3,000,000 in total. The founders command 2,000,000 ÷ 3,000,000 = two-thirds of the votes on one-sixth of the equity. Every ballot at this company, on pay, on directors, on a merger, is settled before it is held.

The discipline this imposes is worth stating plainly. Before forming any view on governance, answer two separate questions: who owns the cash flows, and who casts the votes. In a dispersed market running straight voting the answers coincide. Elsewhere they may not, and the space between them is the first place governance risk hides.

End of lesson.